Tuesday, 26 May 2015

The Full Time NHS



It is five years since I raised the topic of a 24 hours a day/7 days a week hospital service with Mr. Lansley. (see previous blog) It is good to see that the present government is showing an interest in the idea and some determination to bring it about.  It is less encouraging that the response from our medical colleagues has on the whole been negative. 

At the base of the opposition, I think, is a misunderstanding.  If the whole hospital service were to go from working on average, say, in the region of 10 hours a day and five and a half days a week (which is a guess, not an accurate estimate) this would amount to  55 hours a week.  To make all the hospital facilities work 24 hours a day and seven days a week would raise this to 168 hours, i.e. it would expand the hospital service threefold!  Whereas this might be thought desirable in theory, it is quite clearly impossible in practice and the proposal to go to a “168 hour per week service” is quite different. 

 

If in a large medical centre a number of services -  the operating theatres, the diagnostic departments and the acute medicine departments were to go to 168 hours per week, then it would need to follow that a much of these services currently provided on the 55 hour a week model in reasonably nearby hospitals would have to be discontinued.  One can envisage that some hospitals might close altogether, thereby making large savings on the maintenance of the estate and on the administration which are both expensive.  The relevant staff  would be transferred to the 168 hour a week hospital to enable it to function at that level. 

 

However, there is also a real need for “low intensity” hospital facilities which used to exist and have largely disappeared.  There has been much discussion of bed-blocking by patients who have no need for intensive facilities but for whom there are no facilities in the community, and there are also other patients who still require some degree of medical care but who do not require the expensive facilities of an acute hospital.  For such patients, it would be desirable to have low intensity hospitals which provide accommodation, nursing care and basic medical care but without the expensive facilities to be found in the large hospitals.  Some years ago it was estimated that a high intensity bed cost £500 a night and a low intensity one £100 a night, so that there are also large savings to be made here. 

 

Quite clearly, changes of this description cannot be brought about nation-wide, or all at once.  In urban areas, or in regions where there is a large hospital within reach, such changes may be made without the need for training new staff and the added expense of paying staff for unsocial hours would be more than recompensed by the savings that can be made by reducing activity in the surrounding hospitals.  Where this looks feasible, it could be initiated quite quickly.  In other areas where the distance of travel would make for serious problems, the arrangements may be more difficult to bring about. In any case gradual introduction of change with the old and new systems running side by side, will allow comparisons to be made - seeing where the benefits and  the difficulties  lie and seeing  which delivers more QUALYS per £. Sad experience has shown clearly enough that this is always preferable to trying to introduce  nationwide, untested changes tied to an electoral timetable!

 

The situation with regard to general practice is quite different but here also one can envisage changes being gradually brought in which would reduce the existing work-load while allow seven day a week access. 

A major change that has occurred in general practice since the introduction of the NHS, has come with major advances in medicine which have led not to the cure of chronic diseases but to their management.  There are now large numbers of patients, and not only the elderly, that suffer from chronic conditions such as diabetes, hypertension, asthma and chronic lung disease, angina and chronic heart disease, rheumatoid arthritis and related rheumatological diseases among others, who require regular assessment and care over many years. This care has increasingly been put onto general practitioners.  This, however, is contrary to the clinical evidence.  There is good evidence most of these diseases, that patients’ outcomes are significantly better when they are cared for in specialised clinics set up for their particular disease.  This is by no means surprising.  Not only it is probably advantageous for  doctors to see many instances of these diseases rather than a few, but such clinics will also have access to specialised ancillary services (for example dieticians and podiatrists for diabetes, as well as the diagnostic services that are required.  Furthermore clinical trials on newer treatments are easier to carry out in this environment., There is therefore be a strong case to be made for establishing diabetic clinics, hypertension clinics, chronic respiratory disease clinics etc in large central hospitals where outpatient care is provided  for the management of long-term conditions.  It is almost certain – and could be properly evaluated -  that this would improve outcomes.  It would also save a great deal of time in general practice which would allow GPs to concentrate on their other functions and to provide a seven day a week service.  Again, such changes cannot be brought in all at once and would have to be allowed to develop slowly where the conditions are favourable.  All these changes should be closely monitored so that, again, their value in QUALYS per £ spent can be evaluated. 

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